Data: Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (mcc-berlin.net)
Are we thinking about the emission of greenhouse gasses such as methane and carbon when we do day to day activities like: driving a car, using energy to cook or heating our houses? Probably not. But by doing this we are making our small but constant contribution to the problem of Global Warming. We see from worsening weather disasters around the world that this returns as a boomerang back to our houses and families.
of all natural disasters were related to climate change
USA share of global world cumulative CO₂ emission
people can be pushed into poverty by 2030 because of climate change impact
Statistics Source: https://ourworldindata.org/co2/country/united-states?country=~USA
Statistics Source: Executive Summary - Climate Science Special Report
The overall trend in global average temperature indicates that warming is occurring in an increasing number of regions. Future Earth warming depends on our greenhouse gas emissions in the coming decades.
At present, approximately 11 billion metric tons of carbon are released into the atmosphere each year. As a result, the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is on the rise every year, as it surpasses the natural capacity for removal.
warmest years on historical record have occurred since 2010
is the total increase in the Earth's temperature since 1880
warming rate since 1981
Observations from both satellites and the Earth’s surface are indisputable — the planet has warmed rapidly over the past 44 years. As far back as 1850, data from weather stations all over the globe make clear the Earth’s average temperature has been rising.
In recent days, as the Earth has reached its highest average temperatures in recorded history, warmer than any time in the last 125,000 years. Paleoclimatologists, who study the Earth’s climate history, are confident that the current decade is warmer than any period since before the last ice age, about 125,000 years ago.
Clean hydrogen has 3 main uses: energy storage, load balancing, and as feedstock/fuel. Used in all sectors, including steel, chemical, oil refining & heavy transport. Actions to accelerate decarbonization & increase clean hydrogen use include:
Reducing greenhouse gas emissions and achieving carbon neutrality requires widespread renewable energy and a huge increase in vehicles, products, and processes powered by electricity.
Electricity generated from increasingly renewable energy sources is the right way to create a clean energy system. Switching from direct use of fossil fuels to electricity improves air quality by reducing emissions of local pollutants.In order to increase the use of electricity, we can do the following:
As the foremost element in the periodic table, hydrogen holds a unique position in the universe, given its status as the lightest and one of the most ancient and abundant chemical elements.
Hydrogen, in its pure form, needs to be extracted since it is usually present in more intricate molecules, such as water or hydrocarbons, on Earth.
Hydrogen powers stars through nuclear fusion. This creates energy and all the other chemicals elements which are found on Earth.

Hydrogen is an essential part for manufacturing Ammoniam Nitrate fertilizers. Half of the world's food is grown using hydrogen-based ammonia fertilizer.
Hydrogen is used in the production of methanol, where hydrogen is reacted with carbon monoxide to produce chemical feedstocks.
Hydrogen fuel cells make electricity from combining hydrogen and oxygen. Power plants are showing increased interest in using hydrogen, and gas turbines can convert from natural gas to hydrogen combustion.

Hydrogen is an alternative vehicle fuel. It allows us to power fuel cells in zero-emission electric drive vehicles.
Hydrogen heat is used in order to reduce emissions in the manufacturing process.
Steelmaking is an industry that is beginning to successfully use hydrogen in two ways to eliminate almost all greenhouse emissions from the steelmaking process. First for Direct Reduced Iron (DRI) replacing coke (from coal) with hydrogen to remove oxygen from iron ore. Second for heat to melt the iron ore into DRI and then into low carbon steel.
Liquid hydrogen has been used by NASA as a rocket fuel since the 1950s.
Hydrogen is used in production of explosives, fertilizers, and other chemicals; to convert heavier hydrocarbons to lightweight hydrocarbons to produce many value-added chemicals; to hydrogenate organic compounds; and to remove impurities like sulfur, halides, oxygen, metals, and/or nitrogen. It's also in household cleaners like ammonium hydroxide.

Hydrogen is used to make vitamins and other pharmaceutical products.
In the production of float glass, hydrogen is needed to provide heat and to prevent the large tin bath from oxidizing.
It is used to hydrogenate unsaturated fatty acids in animal and vegetable oils, to obtain solid fats for margarine and other food products.
Using clean hydrogen makes it possible to reduce emissions while "cracking" heavier petroleum into lightweight hydrocarbons to produce many value-added chemicals.
By 2030
Statistics Source: IEA Global Hydrogen Review 2022
SMR is a way of producing syngas (Hydrogen and Carbon monoxide) by mixing hydrocarbons (like natural gas) with water. This mixture goes into a special container called a reformer vessel where a high-pressure mixture of steam and methane comes into contact with a nickel catalyst. As a result of the reaction, hydrogen and carbon monoxide are produced.
To make more hydrogen, carbon monoxide from the first reaction is mixed with water through the WGS reaction. As a result, we receive more hydrogen and a gas called carbon dioxide. For each unit of hydrogen produced there are 6 units of carbon dioxide produced and in almost all cases released into the atmosphere. Carbon dioxide is a harmful gas causing climate change.
$863 ($0.86 per kilogram of Hydrogen)
(Electricity = $474 + Methane $383 + Water $6 US EIA May 2024*)
The SMR method involves combining natural gas with high-temperature steam and a catalyst to generate a blend of hydrogen and carbon monoxide. Then, more water is added to the mixture to make more hydrogen and a gas called carbon dioxide.
For each unit of hydrogen produced there are 6 units of carbon dioxide produced. In a few experimental trials, to help the environment, the carbon dioxide is captured and stored underground using a special technology called CCUS (Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage). This leaves almost pure hydrogen.
One of the main problems with carbon capture and storage is that without careful management of storage, the CO2 can flow from these underground reservoirs into the surrounding air and contribute to climate change, or spoil the nearby water supply. Another is the risk of creating earthquake tremors caused by the storage increasing underground pressure, known as human caused seismicity.
$1,253 ($1.25 per kilogram of Hydrogen)
(Electricity $474 + Methane $505 + Water $4 US + CCS $270 EIA May 2024*)
This technology based on natural gas emits no greenhouse gases as it does not produce CO2. Methane Pyrolysis refers to a method of generating hydrogen by breaking down methane into its basic components, namely hydrogen and solid carbon.
Oxygen is not involved at all within this process (no CO or CO2 is produced). Thus, for the production of hydrogen gas there is no need for an additional of CO or for CO2 separation.
$1,199 ($1.20 per kilogram of Hydrogen)
(Electricity $433 +Methane $766 EIA May 2024*)
The concept of Green Hydrogen involves generating hydrogen from renewable energy sources by means of electrolysis, a process that splits water into its fundamental constituents, hydrogen and oxygen, using an electric current. This process can be powered by a range of renewable energy sources, such as solar energy, wind power, and hydropower.
The electricity used in the electrolysis process is derived exclusively from renewable sources, ensuring a sustainable and environmentally-friendly production of hydrogen. It generates zero carbon dioxide emissions and, as a result, prevents global warming.
$3,289 ($3.29 per kilogram of Hydrogen)
(Electricity $3,278 + water $11 US EIA May 2024*)
Known as "White" hydrogen, it can be generated through various geological processes. The study of geologic hydrogen and its potential as an energy resource is an active area of research, as it holds promise for renewable energy applications, particularly in the context of hydrogen fuel cells and clean energy production.
It's important to note that the creation of geologic hydrogen is generally a slow and long-term process, occurring over geological timescales. This is because the other methods are human production technology methods and this is creation by a natural phenomena. The availability and abundance of geologic hydrogen can vary significantly depending on the specific geological setting and the interplay of various factors such as rock composition, temperature, pressure, and the presence of suitable reactants.
Serpentinization is a chemical reaction that occurs when water interacts with certain types of rocks, particularly ultramafic rocks rich in minerals such as olivine and pyroxene. This process results in the formation of serpentine minerals and produces hydrogen gas as a byproduct. Serpentinization typically takes place in environments such as hydrothermal systems, oceanic crust, and certain tectonic settings.
In regions with high concentrations of radioactive elements, such as uranium and thorium, the decay of these elements releases radiation. This radiation can interact with surrounding water or other fluids, splitting the water molecules and generating hydrogen gas through a process called radiolysis. This mechanism is believed to contribute to the production of hydrogen in certain deep geological settings, such as deep groundwater systems and radioactive mineral deposits.
Geothermal systems, which involve the circulation of hot water or steam through fractured rocks, can generate hydrogen gas as a result of various processes. High-temperature hydrothermal systems can cause the thermal decomposition of hydrocarbons, releasing hydrogen gas. Additionally, the interaction between water and hot rocks in geothermal reservoirs can lead to the production of hydrogen through serpentinization or other geochemical reactions.
Abiotic methane refers to methane gas that is not directly derived from biological sources, such as microbial activity. In certain geological environments, abiotic methane can be generated through processes like thermal decomposition of organic matter or reactions between carbon dioxide and hydrogen. This methane can subsequently undergo thermal or catalytic cracking, producing hydrogen gas.
Keep current hydrogen production methods BUT
make additional steps to broaden them with cleaner production methods
And as a result the world will get more vital hydrogen and become one step closer to net zero emission
The market is dominated by grey hydrogen produced from natural gas through a fossil fuel-powered SMR process. Every year, the production of grey hydrogen amounts to approximately 70 to 80 million tons, and it is primarily used in industrial chemistry. More than 80% is used for the synthesis of ammonia and its derivatives (fertilizer for agriculture, 50 perecent of food worldwide) or for oil refining operations. Unfortunately, for every 1 kg of grey hydrogen, almost 6-8 kg of carbon dioxide is emitted into the atmosphere.
More than 95% of the world's hydrogen production is based on fossil fuels with greenhouse gas emissions. Nevertheless, to achieve a more stable future and promote the transition of pure energy, the global goal is to reduce the use of other “colors” of hydrogen and focus on the production of a clean product, such as green or turquoise hydrogen. Reaching the zero carbon footprint will require a gradual transition from grey to green/turquoise hydrogen in the coming years.
It is possible to produce decarbonized hydrogen. An option is to use another feedstock, namely water, and convert it in large electrolyzers into H2 and oxygen (O2), which are returned to the atmosphere. If the electricity used to power the electrolyzers is 100% renewable energy (photovoltaic panels, wind turbines, etc.), then hydrogen becomes green. Currently, it is about 0.1% of the total production of hydrogen, but it is expected that it will increase since the cost of renewable energy continues to fall.
U.S. additions to electric generation capacity from 2000 to 2025. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports that the United States
is building power plants at a record pace. As indicated on the chart, nearly all new electric generating capacity either already installed or planned
for 2025 is from clean energy sources, while new power plants coming
on line 25 years ago, in 2000, were predominantly fueled by natural gas. New wind power plants began to come on line in 2001 and new solar plants, 10 years, later in 2011. Since 2023, the U.S. power industry has built more solar than any other type of power plant. The EIA predicts that clean energy (wind, solar, and battery storage) will deliver 93% of new power-plant capacity in 2025.
Global surface air temperature departures between 1940 and 2024 from the average temperature for the period 1991-2020 (averages below the 11-year average are blue and those above are red). The average in October 2024 was +0.80 degrees Celsius above the reference period average, down from +0.85 degrees Celsius above the reference period average in 2023, which was the warmest October on record.
The new solar project is less than half the size of a gas plant planned for Meta’s El Paso data center.
Apex Clean Energy and Meta have entered into a power purchase agreement that allows the technology company to financially benefit from energy generated from a solar project in Gonzales County, Texas.
The 144-megawatt project wouldn’t have been built without Meta’s backing, the energy developer said. But the partnership comes after the parent company of Facebook quietly exited a corporate renewable energy initiative following a decade of membership earlier this year, raising questions about the company’s commitment to renewable energy as Meta builds an expansive portfolio of energy-hungry data centers, totaling 28 sites in the United States as of April.
Meta plans to power a new data center in El Paso with a 366-megawatt gas-fired plant.
In a statement to Inside Climate News, Meta said natural gas options are part of its data center expansion plans for artificial intelligence but added that the decision to exit Climate Group’s RE100 renewable-energy initiative holds no bearing on its commitment to clean energy. The company said it has contributed more than 30 gigawatts of new clean energy to grids across the country to date and has retained its goal to match its electricity use with 100 percent “clean and renewable energy.”
As part of the new project, called Starling Solar, Meta will get to claim “all environmental attributes” from the energy production. That allows the company to offset some of the gas-fired energy powering its data centers when it tallies up its electricity use, but the gas power plants will have climate and local air-pollution impacts all the same.
Dennis Wamsted, energy analyst at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, said artificial intelligence development doesn’t have to come at the cost of renewable energy.
“I applaud Meta for trying. They have been very active in the past in building out or paying for the build-out of renewable energy across the United States,” he said.
But Wamsted sees problems with the speed of Meta’s AI build-out and its reliance on natural gas to do so.
“I think in some regards they’re taking what could be called the easy way out,” he said. “While I am positive about their past impact on renewables, I am increasingly critical about their current approach, which is to build anything they can get their hands on as fast as they possibly can, and I don’t think that we need AI quite that quickly.”
He added, “I think you can build wind and certainly solar very quickly and it can be used to power AI data servers and centers all across the country.”
Solar power has become an increasingly valuable resource in Texas. Apex expects the Starling Solar project to help bolster the state’s grid, which has encountered record-high demand this month that surpassed the record set in 2023. The state is grappling with high temperatures and an influx of data centers. Meta has three locations in Texas.
In August, Gov. Greg Abbott instructed utility regulators and the Texas grid operator to oversee an audit of every data center waiting to connect to the grid in ERCOT’s interconnection process, including their water consumption practices, local water supply sources, and whether they use water-efficient technologies. Data centers that fail to comply with the audit will be denied interconnection.
Renewables made up about a third of Texas’ in-state electricity last year. That’s meant money for landowners, particularly farmers and ranchers, through lease payments for thousands of transactions like Meta’s power purchase agreement, Wamsted said.
Meta and Apex expect Starling to generate tax revenue of $27 million over the life of the project, $26.3 million in landowner payments and an estimated 400 to 450 jobs during the construction phase.
Starling is scheduled to begin operations next year.
SB 1213 will force truck manufacturers to disclose data to curb price gouging — and open new state financing options to help fleets switch to cleaner vehicles.
Hello, everyone! We’re back today to talk about trucks — the big and dirty ones — and what to do about them. California has around 1.8 million commercial trucks on its roads, almost all of them running on diesel fuel. They’re responsible for a lot of the state’s carbon emissions, and also harmful air pollution, particularly near the ports of Long Beach and L.A. and the warehouses of the “Inland Empire” of San Bernardino and Riverside counties.
To solve these problems, California has committed billions of dollars in incentives to encourage freight companies and independent truckers to switch to electric big rigs. About 2,000 zero-emission heavy trucks now travel on California roads, far more than in any other state.
But electric trucks still cost two to three times as much upfront as their diesel-fueled counterparts. To meet its aggressive clean-freight goals, the state needs to drive down that price.
Last week, Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) signed into law a bill that will help with that. Senate Bill 1213 uses both regulatory sticks and financing carrots to bring “greater transparency and accountability to the clean truck market,” said state Sen. Eloise Gómez Reyes (D), who represents nearly a million Inland Empire residents and authored the bill.
Such transparency is necessary because, it turns out, major truck manufacturers have been charging more in California than in other markets.
In a 2024 report, the California Air Resources Board revealed that the average price of a zero-emission Class 8 truck in California was $436,000 — about $87,000 more than the average price in Europe. Research from the nonprofit International Council on Clean Transportation also found big gaps between U.S. and European pricing.
Commercial trucks don’t have sticker prices like cars do, said Ray Minjares, the council’s heavy-duty vehicles program director. Instead, they’re sold via “business-to-business transactions” between manufacturers, dealers, and customers that “do not operate under a high degree of pricing transparency,” he said.
Under SB 1213, starting in 2027, manufacturers will need to share that pricing data with state agencies for trucks to be eligible for incentive programs including CARB’s Hybrid and Zero-Emission Truck and Bus Voucher Incentive Project and California Clean Fuel Reward rebate program and the California Energy Commission’s Clean Transportation Program.
That data will be anonymized to protect competitive confidentiality, emphasized Guillermo Ortiz, senior clean vehicles advocate at the Natural Resources Defense Council, which sponsored the bill. After all, major truck manufacturers still need to recover costs and earn a reasonable profit, even as upstarts like Tesla challenge them on price and performance.
But more data can also open the door to more fine-tuned incentives and other forms of state-backed financing, Ortiz said. SB 1213 instructs state agencies to explore options like residual-value guarantees to provide banks and other lenders with information on what used EV trucks are worth. Right now, such data is missing from the market, making it hard for banks to underwrite loans and leases, which account for about 90% of U.S. truck purchases.
Financing is particularly important for smaller operators, who make up most of the state’s trucking industry. “Zero-emissions trucks can’t just be luxury goods for corporate fleets,” Ortiz said. Loan-loss reserves to help backstop EV truck financing could also draw more lenders into the market.
California needs all the tools it can get now that its power to limit vehicle emissions and mandate clean truck fleets has been gutted by the Trump administration and congressional Republicans. At the same time, states can’t afford to pay half or more of the cost of every electric truck forever. The sooner California can encourage private-sector lenders to do their part, the better. After all, don’t truck manufacturers want to capture a share of the country’s top market for the freight-hauling technology of the future?
It’s Sept. 30, which means Newsom has until midnight tonight to veto the bills remaining on his desk from this legislative session or pass them into law. I’ll be tracking the fate of these bills in upcoming Canary Media stories.
Meanwhile, in an under-the-radar move, Newsom last week vetoed a bill having to do with community choice aggregators, the city- and county-based entities that serve the energy needs of an increasing share of the customers of California’s big three investor-owned utilities.
Assembly Bill 1761 would have forced utilities to disclose data that goes into calculating the Power Charge Indifference Adjustment. That’s a fee that CCAs pay utilities to make up for revenues utilities will no longer get from lost customers to cover the costs of paying down legacy investments like decades-old power plants.
CCAs have argued for years that the California Public Utilities Commission has taken the side of utilities in disputes over a fair way to true up those cost calculations. That includes a big decision last year that let utilities retroactively shift as much as $1 billion in costs onto CCAs, according to the California Community Choice Association.
AB 1761 was meant to make utilities cough up underlying data to prove out these calculations. Newsom’s veto statement says the bill could lead to “improper dissemination of market-sensitive information.” But Beth Vaughan, the California Community Choice Association’s CEO, said in a press statement that the veto blocks a simple step to “bring greater transparency and accountability to a charge that affects millions of California electricity customers.”
California sued the Department of the Interior earlier this month, calling foul on its deal to return $120 million in offshore lease payments to Golden State Wind in exchange for the developer’s promise to invest the same amount of money in U.S. liquified natural gas facilities and other fossil-fuel projects. But the state isn’t fighting its climate battles alone. Last week, New York and seven other East Coast states filed their latest round of lawsuits challenging the Trump administration’s deals to pay back billions of dollars in offshore wind development lease payments.
California has the highest diesel prices in the country right now. The looming threat of a Trump administration U.S. diesel export ban could drive those prices up even higher, according to California energy experts interviewed by Politico. That could make switching to electric trucks even more attractive to fleet owners. Remember, electric trucks cost more to buy but less to operate and maintain in the long run. One of the biggest variables in those total-cost-of-ownership calculations is the price of fuel.
A final note on electric trucks: They need places to charge. And, hey, a lot more charging stations have been popping up lately. A map from Catalyst Mobility covers the entire U.S. and is updated regularly to show which sites have opened, which are being constructed, and which are on the drawing board.
The screenshot below shows the density of the charging network from the Southern California ports through the Inland Empire corridor. But charging stations are also being built in the Central Valley and in neighboring Nevada and Arizona — signs that the electric trucking industry is extending its range.
The number of charging sites has more than doubled, to over 200 stations, since Catalyst Mobility started tracking the data in 2024, said Jacob Richard, a technical project manager at the nonprofit. “Having that public infrastructure is vital to getting fleets to adopt the technology,” he said.


Last Sunday was Temescal Giveaway Day in our old neighborhood in Oakland, and my wife and I went to find some cool free stuff — a lot of books, some succulent clippings, a lovely woven basket — and grab a pistachio croissant at Forma Bakery. Lily the corgi came along, and we think she was glad to smell all the old neighborhood smells — and to check out the street art inspired by one of her relatives.
The Nuclear Regulatory Commission has been busy responding to Trump’s executive order. But will the many siting and permitting changes accelerate nuclear deployment?
The top U.S. nuclear regulator wants to make it easier to build and operate nuclear power plants in this country — without compromising public health or safety.
That’s the TL;DR of a proposed rule that would reduce reporting requirements for nonemergency events, eliminate the expiration date for standard design approvals for reactors, increase staffing flexibility in reactor control rooms, and modify seismic risk requirements, among other changes to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s voluminous regulatory code.
The 339-page tome is the newest of several dozen NRC rulemakings initiated since last May, when President Donald Trump signed an executive order directing the commission to implement sweeping regulatory reforms by the end of 2026. The order, which also made it official U.S. government policy to quadruple the country’s commercial nuclear reactor fleet by 2050, kicked off what one expert told Canary Media is likely the busiest period for the NRC since the early days of the nuclear power industry.
“This is a wholesale revision of NRC rules and guidance,” said Patrick White, a Massachusetts Institute of Technology–trained nuclear scientist who is group lead in the Clean Air Task Force’s nuclear energy practice.
The NRC is “trying to look top to bottom and say, ‘What changes do we need to make to the regulatory system if we want to accelerate deployment of nuclear?’ You’re seeing everything done at once,” White added.
The Trump administration’s push for NRC reforms comes amid broad agreement that the U.S. needs more electricity generation, and as the administration continues to throw up obstacles to renewables and batteries, which are the cheapest, fastest, and cleanest resources available to deploy right now. Though only a handful of nuclear reactors are under construction in the U.S. today, and experts expect few if any to come online before 2030, Trump’s support for nuclear marks a rare point of alignment with decarbonization advocates — and a potential lifeline for the country’s clean energy transition.
Earlier this year, the NRC wrapped up previously authorized work on a new licensing pathway for advanced nuclear reactors and jump-started the development of a second pathway for “low-consequence microreactors.” It has also initiated several significant rulemakings under Trump’s executive order. Each package runs hundreds of pages and contains multiple proposals for new or updated nuclear regulations.
Of these, a comprehensive update to existing licensing regulations is one of the most potentially beneficial proposed changes for companies looking to build new nuclear reactors, said Lara Nichols, a former Duke Energy executive who’s now a partner with the law firm Troutman Pepper Locke.
For example, one proposed change would increase reactor developers’ flexibility to make design changes during construction without having to ask the NRC for permission. That could avoid the sort of situation Westinghouse and its partners found themselves in while building the United States’ first two AP-1000 reactors in Georgia during the 2010s and early 2020s. Lengthy NRC design modification reviews helped push those reactors’ delivery dates nearly a decade beyond original estimates.
Other regulation updates would expand the type of site work that license applicants can do before receiving full approval from the NRC to begin reactor construction, and also revise emergency preparedness requirements to accommodate the wider range of reactor technologies expected to reach commercial operation in the coming years.
Newer reactors, including the AP-1000, generally have “passive safety systems” that lower the risk of catastrophic accidents, reducing the need for the sorts of safeguards required of reactors designed in the 20th century.
Another set of proposed changes would make it easier for existing nuclear power plants to address physical security and earthquake mitigation requirements, which could help decrease plants’ operating costs if they can find a way to meet the modified standards with fewer staff, Nichols said in an email.
A separate revision to the NRC’s nearly 40-year-old “backfitting” rule would reduce nuclear plants’ compliance burdens when the agency issues new or revised regulations. On paper, that could be “one of the most potentially beneficial proposed changes” for existing nuclear power plants, though a lot rides on how NRC employees interpret the revised rule, Nichols said.
“The realized benefits will depend on how these changes, if approved, are implemented in the field by NRC inspectors,” she said.
One particularly controversial change would replace the NRC’s long-standing “as low as reasonably achievable” standards for radiation protection with “clearer, more objective requirements” that the agency says would be “set well below levels associated with known health effects.”
The incumbent standard, known as ALARA, has been an enduring target for industry groups like the Nuclear Energy Institute. It asks license holders to make “every reasonable effort” to keep public and employee exposure to X-rays and other forms of high-energy radiation as far below its annual dose limits as practically possible.
In a far-reaching paper last year pushing for comprehensive NRC reforms, the Nuclear Energy Institute said updating the “overly restrictive” and inconsistently applied standard would improve “efficiency, flexibility, clarity, and … deployment of modern nuclear technologies while maintaining safety.”
The NRC said much the same in its July 1 proposal to replace ALARA with a “graded approach” to radiation safety.
Among other changes, the new approach would allow nuclear power plant employees to exceed the annual dose limit as long as their average annual exposure remains below the threshold over a five-year period. That would give workers and plant operators more flexibility during plant maintenance cycles, when radiation exposure tends to increase, according to an American Nuclear Society brief on the proposed rule.
Some industry analysts say, however, that eliminating the ALARA standard won’t on its own enable new reactor construction. The move would save the nuclear industry about $9.53 million annually, according to NRC estimates — peanuts next to the multibillion-dollar cost to build even a modest-size nuclear power plant. The NRC estimates its latest, lower-profile package of proposed reforms would reduce costs industrywide by $15.1 million to $22.2 million per year.
Neither ALARA nor the latest proposed reforms would be a game changer, said Andrew Kleiman, an energy transition research analyst with the global energy consultancy Wood Mackenzie.
“Impacts of the proposed rule on costs are marginal. … [The] level of savings across the entire industry is not likely enough to move the needle for any single project,” Kleiman said in an email.
The Clean Air Task Force’s White said eliminating the ALARA standard would neither reset reactor economics to developers’ benefit nor materially affect operational safety for current and future reactors. But it could still be a big deal for the industry, and not necessarily for the better, he said.
“It is potentially very impactful — not because it’s going to significantly reduce the cost of nuclear energy or significantly change operations, but because it becomes a major signaling issue,” White said.
In other words, in appearing to relax its commitment to radiological safety, the NRC could feed public unease about its independence in the Trump era. So could another regulatory reform project that the nuclear industry has long pushed for: simplifying environmental reviews for new reactors.
In last year’s paper, the Nuclear Energy Institute said streamlining environmental reviews, simplifying public hearings, and “modernizing oversight” would allow regulators to focus more on issues with direct bearing on nuclear safety. Andrew Mauer, the group’s senior director of regulatory affairs, echoed that sentiment in an email to Canary Media this month.
“NEI supports efforts to enhance regulatory efficiency by retaining safety-significant requirements, reducing inefficient administrative burdens, and aligning NRC regulations with current practices and Executive Orders,” Mauer said.
Another significant change would narrow the scope of the NRC’s environmental reviews for new reactors. Until now, those reviews have been lengthy, far-reaching processes that involve evaluating not just the physical safety of a facility itself but also the ecological impact, construction dust and noise, and water and air quality effects not related to the radioactive material on-site.
In July, the NRC proposed dispensing with those aspects and focusing its environmental reviews largely on radiation-related health, safety, and security issues, according to an analysis by the law firm Holland & Knight that described the changes as “potentially transformative.”
The proposed rule would also allow applicants seeking to renew existing reactors’ operating licenses or obtain fresh construction permits or early site permits — wherein the NRC deems a particular site suitable for new reactor construction without granting permission to move dirt — to apply for “categorical exclusions” to National Environmental Policy Act review, further reducing the environmental review burden, according to Holland & Knight’s analysis.
Narrowing the scope of NRC environmental reviews could significantly reduce license applicants’ paperwork burden and their risk of being sued later, Holland & Knight attorneys Andy Kriha, Jason Hill, and Elizabeth Leoty Craddock wrote in July.
White agreed that the proposal would streamline NRC assessments of new reactors’ environmental impacts. What’s less clear is whether an NRC perceived to be more deferential to reactor developers could increase public skepticism of an industry that currently enjoys bipartisan support.
“There is a concern that it could become counterproductive if it starts to increase public concern around siting and permitting of nuclear power plants,” he said, referring to the proposed environmental review changes. “Is that going to affect public confidence in these projects?”
And if the public begins to sour on the NRC and the nuclear industry writ large, the agency’s newfound nimbleness could work against it, White added.
“The NRC can be forced to change very, very quickly, but does that mean future administrations could change it in the other direction very quickly?” White asked, rhetorically. “What happens if you start an application now, only to have a shift in policy under a new administration in 2028?”